Watford vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
17.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
WAT
2 - 0
MID
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 0
TOT
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
WAT
2 - 1
HUL
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 0
WAT
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ARS
3 - 0
WAT
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 1
SHE
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
PAL
0 - 1
NEW
51%
25%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 0
OPA
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MID
1 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |