Watford vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
WAT
2 - 1
TOT
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ARS
3 - 2
WAT
74%
17%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
WAT
0 - 4
MAC
9%
17%
74%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
WHU
3 - 1
WAT
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
WAT
2 - 1
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
MID
4 - 3
STF
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
MID
5 - 1
NEW
18%
24%
58%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
PLY
0 - 1
MID
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
SHW
1 - 2
MID
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
MID
1 - 3
CAR
27%
28%
46%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |