Watford vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LIV
2 - 0
WAT
88%
9%
3%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
WAT
0 - 0
CRY
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
LEI
2 - 0
WAT
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 1
WAT
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
WAT
0 - 3
BUR
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
MUD
3 - 0
COL
77%
17%
7%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
46%
25%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
MUD
4 - 0
AZA
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
MUD
2 - 1
TOT
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |