Watford vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
BBU
3 - 1
WAT
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
WAT
1 - 4
MUD
11%
21%
68%
|
77 | 95 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
WAT
4 - 2
OPA
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
MID
4 - 1
WAT
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
WAT
0 - 1
CHL
13%
25%
62%
|
76 | 96 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
ARS
3 - 1
MAC
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 0
LIV
22%
27%
50%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
FUL
1 - 3
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 0
CHA
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAC
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |