Watford vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 3
WAT
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
PLY
3 - 3
WAT
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 2
PNE
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 2
WHU
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
STO
0 - 1
WAT
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
BUR
4 - 0
COV
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 2
SHE
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CRE
2 - 1
BUR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 0
BUR
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 0
PLY
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |