Waterhouse vs St. George.s SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2010 |
HAR
0 - 0
WAT
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 0
VIL
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
WAT
2 - 0
BOY
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 0
WAT
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
BOY
1 - 3
WAT
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
St. George.s SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
STG
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
STG
2 - 1
TRI
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
STG
1 - 2
HAR
29%
28%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
STG
2 - 0
BOY
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
STG
1 - 1
VIL
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |