Premier League Promotion Playoffs . Final
Global 2-4
Waterford United vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
WAT
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 1
LON
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LON
0 - 2
WAT
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ATH
2 - 3
WAT
15%
24%
61%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 2
MER
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
WAT
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
BRW
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
CAO
3 - 0
DUN
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
BOH
27%
28%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 3
STP
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |