Waterford United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
51.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
UCD
3 - 0
WAT
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
WAT
0 - 1
BOH
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
WAT
1 - 2
BRW
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
STP
3 - 0
WAT
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
WAT
1 - 0
CAO
22%
28%
50%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
DER
1 - 4
CAO
44%
29%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
DRO
2 - 1
DER
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
DER
0 - 1
STP
52%
27%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SLR
0 - 2
DER
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
DER
1 - 0
BRW
66%
22%
12%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |