Warrington Town vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
OSS
1 - 1
WAR
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 2
WAR
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
WAR
3 - 1
HAR
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
WAR
2 - 0
GAR
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
WAR
1 - 3
SAL
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
LAN
1 - 1
CUR
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
RAD
0 - 1
LAN
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LAN
1 - 1
COL
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
TRA
2 - 0
LAN
23%
23%
55%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
HAL
4 - 0
LAN
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |