CAF Champions . Last 16
Global 0-2
Warri Wolves FC vs Al-Merreikh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warri Wolves FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 0
NIG
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 0
ENU
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 1
WAR
45%
30%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PRC
0 - 3
WAR
6%
15%
79%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 0
KAN
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALM
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALA
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALA
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALN
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 3
ALM
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |