Warnant vs Union Saint-Gilloise II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
2º
1º
38
4º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 51 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
65.5% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
91.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
WAR
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
5 - 2
HAM
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 0
HBN
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
REB
2 - 5
WAR
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
WAR
3 - 2
MEU
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
REB
2 - 4
SGI
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 2
SGI
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |