Wake vs North Carolina II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
WFC
2 - 3
VBU
30%
22%
47%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LFC
4 - 1
WFC
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
VBU
2 - 2
WFC
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
WFC
0 - 2
WVA
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
VBU
1 - 2
WFC
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
North Carolina II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
NOC
0 - 5
TRI
62%
19%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 0
NOC
62%
19%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
NOC
0 - 2
WVA
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NOC
1 - 7
LFC
59%
20%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
WES
3 - 1
NOC
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |