Waitakere United vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
WAN
2 - 0
WAI
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
WAI
0 - 2
CAN
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
WAI
1 - 1
WAI
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
WAI
1 - 1
HAW
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 3
CAN
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
WAI
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
WAN
3 - 3
SOU
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
HAW
3 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TEA
2 - 0
SOU
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |