Waitakere United vs Manu Ura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 0
CAN
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MAG
1 - 1
WAI
17%
20%
63%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 3
AUC
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 2
AUC
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
WAI
5 - 0
TEA
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manu Ura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAN
90%
7%
3%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
AUC
10%
16%
74%
|
33 | 70 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 1
WAI
9%
16%
75%
|
33 | 70 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
WAI
2 - 1
MAN
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
AUC
6 - 0
MAN
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 70 | 37 | 0 |