Waikato FC vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
4 - 0
WAI
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 3
TEA
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 3
CAN
39%
26%
34%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AUC
0 - 0
WAI
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 6
AUC
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OTA
2 - 2
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 5
HAW
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
9 - 1
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 7
WAI
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |