Non League Div One Southern Central Round 17

Waltham Abbey vs Hadley analysis

Waltham Abbey Hadley
28 ELO 29
8.7% Tilt 4.8%
8688º General ELO ranking 7734º
366º Country ELO ranking 301º
ELO win probability
42.9%
Waltham Abbey
22.1%
Draw
35%
Hadley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
Waltham Abbey
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
35%
Win probability
Hadley
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Waltham Abbey
+15%
+83%
Hadley

Points and table prediction

Waltham Abbey
Their league position
Hadley
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
19º
11º
55
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Berkhamsted
85
92
100%
Biggleswade
69
73
86%
Didcot Town
66
69
53%
Walthamstow
63
67
42.5%
Ware
62
66
62.5%
Cirencester Town
58
62
21.5%
Biggleswade Town
61
62
25.5%
Hadley
55
59
27.5%
Welwyn Garden City
10º
52
58
23.5%
Kidlington
53
56
10º
59%
Waltham Abbey
11º
49
52
11º
29.5%
Thame United FC
12º
47
51
12º
41%
AFC Dunstable
13º
46
49
13º
56%
Hertford Town
15º
38
44
14º
41.5%
Aylesbury United
14º
40
44
15º
60.5%
Harlow Town
20º
6
39
16º
20%
Kempston Rovers
16º
34
37
17º
59%
Highworth Town
17º
28
29
18º
68%
FC Romania
19º
23
27
19º
71.5%
Barton Rovers
18º
23
23
20º
81.5%
Expected probabilities
Waltham Abbey
Hadley
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Waltham Abbey
Hadley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Waltham Abbey
Waltham Abbey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2022
WAL
Waltham Abbey
0 - 1
Biggleswade
BFC
35%
23%
42%
27 34 7 0
19 Nov. 2022
AYL
Aylesbury United
0 - 2
Waltham Abbey
WAL
17%
20%
63%
26 18 8 +1
12 Nov. 2022
HER
Hertford Town
2 - 3
Waltham Abbey
WAL
35%
22%
43%
26 22 4 0
05 Nov. 2022
WAL
Waltham Abbey
1 - 3
Didcot Town
DID
49%
22%
29%
27 27 0 -1
25 Oct. 2022
THA
Thame United FC
1 - 3
Waltham Abbey
WAL
46%
22%
32%
26 25 1 +1

Matches

Hadley
Hadley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2022
HAD
Hadley
3 - 0
Barton Rovers
BAR
77%
14%
9%
30 18 12 0
12 Nov. 2022
BER
Berkhamsted
2 - 1
Hadley
HAD
71%
17%
12%
30 41 11 0
05 Nov. 2022
FCR
FC Romania
4 - 1
Hadley
HAD
15%
19%
66%
33 18 15 -3
29 Oct. 2022
HAD
Hadley
2 - 1
Thame United FC
THA
68%
18%
14%
33 24 9 0
25 Oct. 2022
HAD
Hadley
0 - 2
Ware
WAR
48%
22%
30%
34 31 3 -1