Regionalliga Bayern Round 23

SV Wacker Burghausen vs Aubstadt analysis

SV Wacker Burghausen Aubstadt
59 ELO 58
-0.9% Tilt 1.7%
2593º General ELO ranking 3286º
113º Country ELO ranking 145º
ELO win probability
45.8%
SV Wacker Burghausen
25.6%
Draw
28.5%
Aubstadt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
SV Wacker Burghausen
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.6%
Win probability
Aubstadt
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SV Wacker Burghausen
+25%
-6%
Aubstadt

Points and table prediction

SV Wacker Burghausen
Their league position
Aubstadt
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
11º
40
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Schweinfurt
68
68
100%
Buchbach
59
59
100%
Würzburger Kickers
57
57
100%
Bayern München II
56
56
100%
Greuther Fürth II
56
56
100%
Bayreuth SpVgg
55
55
100%
SV Wacker Burghausen
52
52
0%
Vilzing
52
52
0%
Illertissen
51
51
100%
SpVgg Ansbach
10º
46
46
10º
100%
Nürnberg II
11º
45
45
11º
100%
FC Augsburg II
12º
42
42
12º
100%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
14º
40
40
13º
63.5%
Aubstadt
13º
40
40
14º
63.5%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
15º
37
38
15º
63.5%
Hankofen-Hailing
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Eintracht Bamberg
17º
25
25
17º
100%
Türkgücü München
18º
22
23
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
SV Wacker Burghausen
Aubstadt
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 63.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 36.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

SV Wacker Burghausen
Aubstadt
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SV Wacker Burghausen
SV Wacker Burghausen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2025
ERL
SV Erlbach
0 - 1
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
15%
21%
64%
59 48 11 0
18 Feb. 2025
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
6 - 0
TSV Kastl
TSK
83%
12%
5%
59 21 38 0
14 Feb. 2025
RIE
SV Ried
3 - 0
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
81%
13%
6%
59 83 24 0
12 Feb. 2025
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
5 - 3
1860 München II
186
68%
19%
14%
59 47 12 0
01 Feb. 2025
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
1 - 0
Gurten
GUR
51%
24%
26%
58 56 2 +1

Matches

Aubstadt
Aubstadt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2025
AUB
Aubstadt
2 - 3
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
TSA
57%
23%
20%
58 52 6 0
08 Feb. 2025
SVS
Stuttgarter Kickers
4 - 1
Aubstadt
AUB
60%
21%
19%
58 66 8 0
06 Feb. 2025
AUB
Aubstadt
1 - 2
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
54%
22%
24%
58 52 6 0
25 Jan. 2025
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 3
Aubstadt
AUB
18%
21%
60%
58 47 11 0
23 Nov. 2024
TAM
Türkgücü München
1 - 3
Aubstadt
AUB
22%
25%
53%
58 48 10 0