VVV Venlo vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
JON
6 - 1
VVV
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
VVV
3 - 2
TEL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
VVV
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
VVV
0 - 5
ADO
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BOS
0 - 0
VVV
30%
24%
47%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 3
ALK
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
MVV
1 - 1
EXC
13%
19%
68%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 4
TEL
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
EXC
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEL
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |