VVV Venlo vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 0
VVV
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ADO
3 - 0
VVV
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
VVV
3 - 0
NAC
25%
25%
51%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AZA
6 - 1
VVV
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
VVV
0 - 3
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
AZA
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 5
ADO
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
RJC
3 - 0
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |