ZOB vs VELO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ZOB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VVM
2 - 2
ZOB
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ZOB
4 - 3
AFC
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 1
ZOB
37%
23%
41%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ZOB
2 - 3
FSP
24%
21%
56%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 0
ZOB
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
VELO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 3
ARG
51%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 2
VEL
46%
22%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
3 - 1
VOO
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 2
VOO
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ZWA
1 - 1
VEL
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |