Winsum vs Balk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 1
WIN
74%
15%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
ZMV
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ORA
1 - 3
WIN
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 1
VVG
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
BLA
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
VVG
25%
22%
53%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
DRA
13%
19%
69%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ZMV
1 - 0
BAL
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
BRO
15%
19%
67%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |