Gorecht vs Pelikaan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
78.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
14º
10º
48
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
70.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gorecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 0
GOR
63%
18%
19%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GOR
4 - 4
VVG
44%
22%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DRA
3 - 0
GOR
57%
20%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 1
FVC
51%
20%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
4 - 2
GOR
59%
19%
23%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pelikaan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HOO
1 - 3
PEL
36%
21%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 1
WIN
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VVG
0 - 3
PEL
15%
16%
69%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PEL
0 - 0
DRA
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
TFE
2 - 2
PEL
4%
9%
87%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | 0 |