Vulcano vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vulcano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
VUL
3 - 2
CDF
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 0
VUL
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
VUL
6 - 1
ADC
69%
18%
14%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ZAR
1 - 1
VUL
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
VUL
1 - 0
ELP
41%
25%
35%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 1
IZA
54%
23%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ARI
3 - 1
SLV
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
TAL
1 - 0
ARI
53%
23%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 1
CDF
45%
25%
31%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LAK
2 - 1
ARI
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |