Vukovar '91 vs NK Sesvete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
12º
3º
42
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NKJ
2 - 2
VUK
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VUK
1 - 1
NKD
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
VUK
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
VUK
2 - 2
BIJ
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 0
VUK
19%
26%
55%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NK Sesvete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
NKR
1 - 0
DZG
16%
21%
63%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NKR
1 - 1
DUB
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 3
NKJ
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NKD
1 - 3
NKR
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
NKR
1 - 2
SOL
71%
17%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |