Vukovar '91 vs Dilj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
VAL
2 - 1
VUK
23%
22%
55%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
VUK
0 - 1
BEL
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BJE
4 - 0
VUK
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
VUK
53%
23%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
VUK
2 - 1
GOS
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dilj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
DIL
2 - 1
GOS
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
HNK
3 - 0
DIL
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
DIL
1 - 0
NKS
44%
23%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
SLA
1 - 1
DIL
59%
21%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
DIL
2 - 1
CAK
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |