Vrakuňa vs Bánová analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
14º
16º
16º
35
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
70.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
73.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 39 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
88% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 51% |
|
Relegation
|
88% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vrakuňa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 0
VRA
71%
17%
13%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VRA
5 - 1
NOV
60%
19%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
6 - 1
VRA
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VRA
0 - 4
FOM
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
5 - 2
VRA
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bánová
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TJB
3 - 3
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 0
TJB
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
TJB
2 - 2
POD
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TJB
2 - 1
VEL
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 5
TJB
14%
19%
67%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |