VPS Vaasa vs AC Oulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
8º
7º
15
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 47 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 42 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 41 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 41 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 29 |
6º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 25 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 25 |
8º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 21 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 20 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
12º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
13% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
87% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
VAA
5 - 0
KPV
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
GIF
2 - 3
VAA
23%
21%
56%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
KER
2 - 3
VAA
14%
18%
68%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
INT
4 - 2
VAA
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SEI
0 - 1
VAA
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
KUO
2 - 0
OUL
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
ILV
3 - 0
OUL
63%
20%
18%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
SEI
1 - 1
OUL
62%
19%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
KUO
2 - 1
OUL
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
OUL
4 - 0
FFJ
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |