Landesliga Hamburg - Hansa Round 5

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Ahrensburger TSV analysis

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 Ahrensburger TSV
23 ELO 12
30.3% Tilt 20.1%
5940º General ELO ranking 50779º
300º Country ELO ranking 2504º
ELO win probability
89.5%
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
6.9%
Draw
3.6%
Ahrensburger TSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.3%
Win probability
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
3.94
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.8%
3.6%
Win probability
Ahrensburger TSV
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
+127%
+56%
Ahrensburger TSV

ELO progression

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
Ahrensburger TSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2023
CON
Condor Hamburg
2 - 4
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
VOW
35%
21%
45%
22 19 3 0
12 Aug. 2023
VOW
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
6 - 0
HT 16 Hamburg
HTH
87%
8%
5%
21 14 7 +1
04 Aug. 2023
HTB
Harburger TB
1 - 5
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
VOW
6%
12%
82%
21 10 11 0
29 Jul. 2023
VOW
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
5 - 1
SC Vier- und Marschlande
VIE
88%
8%
4%
20 13 7 +1
07 May. 2023
DNB
Düneberger SV
7 - 3
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
VOW
46%
21%
33%
21 22 1 -1

Matches

Ahrensburger TSV
Ahrensburger TSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
LOH
Lohbrügge
0 - 1
Ahrensburger TSV
ATS
84%
10%
6%
11 18 7 0
13 Aug. 2023
ATS
Ahrensburger TSV
2 - 3
Oststeinbeker SV
OST
37%
22%
41%
12 14 2 -1
04 Aug. 2023
BRA
Bramfelder SV
6 - 0
Ahrensburger TSV
ATS
80%
11%
8%
13 17 4 -1
30 Jul. 2023
ATS
Ahrensburger TSV
2 - 3
Concordia Hamburg II
CHB
75%
14%
10%
14 9 5 -1
07 May. 2023
ASV
ASV Hamburg
1 - 4
Ahrensburger TSV
ATS
82%
11%
7%
12 17 5 +2