Série D Brazil . Last 16
Global 3-4
Volta Redonda vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VOL
4 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
VOL
58%
23%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
VOL
4 - 0
FOR
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SEC
1 - 1
VOL
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
VOL
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 0
ITU
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TOC
3 - 0
TUP
17%
25%
59%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 0
GAM
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ANA
2 - 1
TUP
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TUP
3 - 1
ANA
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |