Volga Novgorod vs Tobol Kurgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volga Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
VNN
2 - 0
URL
66%
21%
13%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2005 |
DIN
1 - 1
VNN
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
LNN
0 - 0
VNN
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
VNN
0 - 0
ENE
34%
28%
38%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
VNN
0 - 2
LAD
28%
26%
45%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
ENE
2 - 0
TOB
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2005 |
TOB
1 - 2
FCC
34%
27%
39%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
TOB
0 - 1
MMM
56%
24%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
URL
1 - 0
TOB
45%
26%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TOB
0 - 5
SST
28%
26%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |