Volga Ulyanovsk vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volga Ulyanovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 0
DIN
77%
17%
6%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
LAD
2 - 2
VOL
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
VOL
1 - 3
NOS
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 1
VOL
57%
24%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 0
SYZ
32%
28%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2016 |
ORE
0 - 1
ZEN
23%
27%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
ZEN
0 - 0
LOK
35%
31%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
MET
2 - 1
ZEN
49%
27%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
ZEN
0 - 0
ARS
60%
25%
16%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
DIN
0 - 0
ZEN
37%
30%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |