Hoofdklasse Zat. Saturday B Round 4

VOC vs Zwaluwen analysis

VOC Zwaluwen
33 ELO 44
5.6% Tilt 11.5%
20373º General ELO ranking 19076º
373º Country ELO ranking 189º
ELO win probability
29.4%
VOC
25.2%
Draw
45.4%
Zwaluwen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
VOC
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.4%
Win probability
Zwaluwen
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VOC
+17%
-23%
Zwaluwen

Points and table prediction

VOC
Their league position
Zwaluwen
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
11º
16º
14º
45
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
ASWH
66
66
100%
FC 's-Gravenzande
49
52
100%
Capelle
48
48
100%
Smitshoek
46
46
100%
Zwaluwen
45
45
100%
LRC
44
44
0%
Westlandia
44
44
0%
Poortugaal
43
43
100%
SC Feyenoord
42
42
100%
HBS
10º
41
41
10º
100%
RVVH
11º
38
38
11º
100%
RKAVV
12º
38
38
12º
100%
Heerjansdam
13º
36
36
13º
100%
VOC
14º
31
31
14º
69.5%
Nieuwenhoorn
15º
30
30
15º
69.5%
DSO
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
VOC
Zwaluwen
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
69.5% 0%
Relegation
30.5% 0%

ELO progression

VOC
Zwaluwen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VOC
VOC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2023
RVV
RVVH
3 - 2
VOC
VOC
42%
22%
36%
36 36 0 0
02 Sep. 2023
VOC
VOC
1 - 0
LRC
LRC
34%
23%
43%
35 40 5 +1
26 Aug. 2023
NIE
Nieuwenhoorn
4 - 0
VOC
VOC
65%
18%
18%
36 42 6 -1
28 May. 2023
HEI
Heino
2 - 1
VOC
VOC
41%
23%
36%
37 37 0 -1
21 May. 2023
VOC
VOC
1 - 1
RKAVV
RKA
22%
26%
53%
36 48 12 +1

Matches

Zwaluwen
Zwaluwen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2023
ZWA
Zwaluwen
4 - 0
Heerjansdam
HEE
51%
24%
26%
41 38 3 0
02 Sep. 2023
CAP
Capelle
2 - 3
Zwaluwen
ZWA
58%
23%
19%
40 46 6 +1
26 Aug. 2023
ZWA
Zwaluwen
1 - 0
DSO
DSO
59%
20%
22%
39 35 4 +1
08 Jul. 2023
ZWA
Zwaluwen
1 - 6
FC Volendam
VOL
6%
12%
82%
39 70 31 0
27 May. 2023
JOD
Jodan Boys
0 - 1
Zwaluwen
ZWA
32%
24%
45%
39 33 6 0