Vlasenica vs Sutjeska Foča analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
12º
8º
4
8º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 61 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 51 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 51 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 40 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 38 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 38 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 32 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 31 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 31 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 30 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 28 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 28 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 27 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 19 |
14º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
29.5% | 52% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vlasenica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
ROP
0 - 0
VLA
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
VLA
1 - 2
BSK
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
KOZ
0 - 0
VLA
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
VLA
1 - 2
LEO
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +18 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
DRI
4 - 4
VLA
59%
21%
19%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sutjeska Foča
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
SUT
1 - 0
FVO
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
LAK
4 - 2
SUT
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
SUT
0 - 0
DRI
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ZBE
1 - 0
SUT
67%
19%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SUT
0 - 0
LEO
34%
26%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |