VKW vs Alphense Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
59.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
16º
16º
32
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VKW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RKA
4 - 1
VKW
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VKW
0 - 2
PUR
20%
22%
59%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RKV
3 - 1
VKW
33%
23%
43%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VKW
1 - 1
HOL
22%
22%
57%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SJC
3 - 1
VKW
85%
9%
6%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PUR
2 - 1
ALP
66%
17%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 3
HOL
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
HOO
4 - 1
ALP
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 1
VOC
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HBS
2 - 2
ALP
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |