Vizela vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vizela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIZ
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TIR
1 - 2
VIZ
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIZ
1 - 1
FEL
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 1
VIZ
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 1
VIZ
19%
24%
58%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
RIB
30%
24%
47%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 3
ADO
25%
26%
49%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -3 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 1
VIL
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
TIR
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |