Copa do Brasil . Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Vitória vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPO
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
VAS
4 - 0
VIT
68%
18%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ATP
0 - 2
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
ATM
3 - 0
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 2
BAH
73%
16%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
CEA
0 - 2
VAS
18%
22%
60%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
VAS
4 - 0
VIT
68%
18%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
VAS
1 - 0
BRA
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
ICA
1 - 4
VAS
8%
16%
76%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
VAS
1 - 1
ICA
88%
9%
3%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |