Vitória vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
4 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
COR
2 - 1
VIT
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
VIT
4 - 3
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
FFL
0 - 2
VIT
34%
26%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
VIT
0 - 0
SCI
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAH
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
GOI
3 - 0
SAO
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
4 - 0
GAM
72%
19%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
POR
3 - 2
SAO
49%
23%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 0
SAO
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |