Vitória vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
SCI
22%
28%
51%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 1
FLU
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
JAC
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIT
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 0
CSA
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |