Vitória vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
PPE
3 - 3
VIT
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
FFL
0 - 0
VIT
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
SAM
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ADA
2 - 2
VIT
6%
12%
82%
|
66 | 28 | 38 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
VIT
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRB
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 0
OPE
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
AVA
3 - 1
NAU
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |