Vitória vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
VIT
25%
28%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
PPE
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 0
VIT
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ABC
0 - 0
VIT
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
5 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
GRÊ
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
PPE
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
POR
4 - 2
GRÊ
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |