Vitória vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VIT
5 - 5
VIT
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ITA
0 - 1
VIT
19%
21%
61%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 1
PAR
41%
24%
35%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
VIT
4 - 4
FEI
78%
13%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
IPI
2 - 3
VIT
16%
20%
64%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
BAH
2 - 1
ITA
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAH
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
JUA
0 - 2
BAH
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
BAH
4 - 1
ALA
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
COL
1 - 2
BAH
38%
25%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |