Vitória vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
46.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 1
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SCI
2 - 1
VIT
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 4
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 0
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
CRZ
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
COR
47%
27%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
COR
0 - 3
FLA
43%
28%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AMF
0 - 0
COR
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |