Vitória vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 4
VIT
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 0
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 0
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 0
FFL
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
FFL
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CRZ
1 - 2
CON
71%
20%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
CUI
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 0
CON
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |