Vitória vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 2
GOI
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
VIT
3 - 2
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 1
VIT
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 2
BOT
45%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 2
COR
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |