Liga do Nordeste Normal Season Round 2

Vitória vs ABC analysis

Vitória ABC
78 ELO 60
14.9% Tilt -7.7%
188º General ELO ranking 1829º
27º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
77.1%
Vitória
14.9%
Draw
8.1%
ABC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
Vitória
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.1%
Win probability
ABC
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
-8%
-3%
ABC

ELO progression

Vitória
ABC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2010
CRB
CRB
1 - 0
Vitória
VIT
18%
24%
59%
78 52 26 0
05 Jun. 2010
VIT
Vitória
1 - 0
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
50%
24%
25%
78 79 1 0
03 Jun. 2010
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
Vitória
VIT
63%
21%
16%
78 83 5 0
29 May. 2010
AVA
Avaí
0 - 0
Vitória
VIT
58%
23%
19%
78 81 3 0
27 May. 2010
VIT
Vitória
4 - 3
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
39%
24%
37%
78 82 4 0

Matches

ABC
ABC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2010
ABC
ABC
0 - 0
América RN
ARN
52%
23%
25%
59 58 1 0
25 Apr. 2010
ABC
ABC
1 - 2
Coríntians RN
COR
76%
15%
9%
60 43 17 -1
18 Apr. 2010
COR
Coríntians RN
1 - 5
ABC
ABC
24%
23%
53%
59 45 14 +1
11 Apr. 2010
ABC
ABC
5 - 0
Potyguar
ACD
75%
16%
9%
59 43 16 0
08 Apr. 2010
ALE
Alecrim
0 - 1
ABC
ABC
24%
23%
53%
59 45 14 0