El Salvador vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
SLV
1 - 2
MEX
11%
22%
68%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 2
SLV
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 3
HND
27%
25%
47%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SLV
2 - 0
MDA
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SLV
2 - 2
NZL
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
GTM
1 - 1
USA
18%
27%
55%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
JAM
2 - 1
GTM
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
GTM
1 - 0
CRI
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
CRI
3 - 2
GTM
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
GTM
0 - 1
PRY
17%
26%
57%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |