Vitória Guimarães vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
FCP
4 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
FEI
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
KON
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VST
1 - 2
VIT
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
TON
1 - 5
SLB
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 1
TON
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TON
1 - 3
RIO
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
TON
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
TON
0 - 1
LUS
85%
11%
3%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | +1 |