Inter-Cities Fairs Cup . 1/16
Global 2-3
Vitória Guimarães vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
44.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 3
VST
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
LEX
0 - 0
VIT
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
HIB
2 - 0
VIT
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
VIT
0 - 0
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
ANG
3 - 1
VIT
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1970 |
HIB
4 - 0
AYR
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
HIB
2 - 0
VIT
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
MHE
4 - 0
HIB
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
HIB
3 - 3
STM
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
MFF
2 - 3
HIB
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |