Vitória Guimarães vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
PAÇ
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
76%
16%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 0
RIO
47%
27%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GFC
1 - 2
RIO
42%
28%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
GFC
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
GFC
1 - 0
VST
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
OLH
2 - 1
GFC
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GFC
1 - 2
FCP
17%
23%
59%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |