Vitória Guimarães vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 1
VIT
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 3
VIT
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPB
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAV
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
FCP
5 - 0
GFC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
VST
0 - 3
FCP
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SLB
2 - 2
FCP
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
FCP
1 - 0
VST
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |